MoKliS

MoKliS (Modellierung von dezentralen Retentionsmaßnahmen bei klimabedingten Dürre- und Hochwasserereignissen in Süddeutschland)

Extreme weather events are increasing as a result of climate change, but are strongly influenced by regional land use changes that alter the natural water and energy balance. The study examines how topography, soils, land use, and hydrological conditions, together with regionalized climate scenarios, shape the vulnerability of areas in Bavaria and Baden-Württemberg to flooding and drought. By linking these heterogeneous data sets and geostatistical analyses, particularly vulnerable regions are identified and the key factors influencing their hydrological sensitivity are quantified. The screening thus provides a basis for a better understanding of the coupling of climate, land use, and hydrology, as well as for future modeling and adaptation strategies.

Based on the screening results, two-three representative case study areas will be selected in which the water balance will be modeled in detail in a next step. Building on this, the aim is to develop a coupled simulation tool (based on SWAT+) that identifies potential retention areas and evaluates the effectiveness of decentralized storage basins as a combined measure for drought and flood prevention. Once development is complete, the tool will be made publicly available to enable broad application in water resource management and promote knowledge transfer between research and practice. Future results will be disseminated via policy briefs, scientific publications, and participatory workshops in order to involve decision-makers and stakeholders from administration and planning at an early stage in the development of sustainable water strategies.
 

Funding Programme: Martin Herrenknecht Fellowship

Project start: 01.01.2026

Project end: 31.12.2030

Project management: Prof. Dr.-Ing. Markus Disse, M.Sc. Joshua Holzer

Additional info: www.tum.de/aktuelles/alle-meldungen/pressemitteilungen/details/unternehmer-martin-herrenknecht-foerdert-klimaforschung-an-der-tum